The primary activities follow a monthly cycle :
Get the latest sales history and upload them into the forecasting system (or check the good execution of the interface if any)
Extract the outliers and requesting explanation from the SC Business Partners
Update the statistical models accordingly
Produce a draft forecast, check forecast calculation results and and share them with SC Business Partners for S&OP meetings
Following S&OP meetings, update models with information received from SC BP (tenders, price changes, holidays effects ) , and upload final models / consensus forecast.
Update portfolio to prepare next month’s run
On an adhoc basis or quarterly basis :
Run simulations to check that models and parameters are still optimum
Re-fit models whenever required, and re-publish forecast
EDUCATION : Tertiary education in Supply Chain / Logistics, Statistics, Applied Mathematics or Econometrics
SPECIFIC EXPERIENCE & KNOWLEDGE : Pharmaceutical industry and its constraints; Working from Regional Headquarter and providing services to local teams
ESSENTIAL TECHNICAL SKILLS : Statistics, especially Times series analysis, Seasonal Adjustment and Forecasting; Tools supporting the above mentioned techniques, R;
Data presentation and manipulation tools (Excel, SQL, QlikView )
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